Page 4 - Gdp Growth

A growth surprise: Healthy Q4 GDP print lends cushion amid hazy outlook

India's economy grew 7.8% in Q4 FY26, beating forecasts, but risks from the West Asia crisis, higher oil prices and a weak monsoon cloud the outlook

India remains world's fastest-growing major economy: Rajnath Singh

Defence Minister Rajnath Singh on Saturday said that at a time when many countries are facing economic uncertainty, India continues to stand out as the "world's fastest-growing major economy". In a post on X, Rajnath Singh said, "India's economy grew by 7.7 per cent in FY 2025-26, with growth accelerating to 7.8 per cent in the fourth quarter, underscoring its resilience and underlying strength built over the last 12 years through the mantra of Reform, Perform and Transform ." He said, "At a time when many countries are facing economic uncertainty, India continues to stand out as the world's fastest-growing major economy." Singh also said that under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, India has combined economic growth with stability, confidence, sustainability and credibility. "His unwavering commitment to nation-building, focus on innovation, infrastructure, and entrepreneurship, and ability to steer the country through unprecedented global challenges have transformed

Monetary policy: Reserve Bank of India opens window for dollar inflow

RBI has unveiled a five-pronged plan to attract foreign capital, boost dollar inflows, ease banking liquidity pressures and support the rupee

RBI MPC strikes caution with growth cut, inflation risk: Sumeet Bagadia

The MPC's approach is data-dependent and cautiously hawkish: it acknowledges weaker growth, flags higher inflationary risks, and keeps policy unchanged for now to watch how the trade-off evolves.

RBI deems monsoon major domestic risk: Key takeaways from June MPC decision

Keeping rates on hold, the RBI flagged concerns over fuel-led inflation, supply-chain disruptions and a weak monsoon while projecting GDP growth of 6.6 per cent for FY27

Emkay raises FY27 Brent crude forecast to $90/bbl, cuts GDP outlook to 6.3%

Emkay Global has raised FY27 Brent crude oil price forecast to $90 per barrel citing West Asia tensions and inventory depletion. It has cut India's GDP growth outlook to 6.3 per cent

India may overtake China in share of global GDP in PPP terms by 2060

A World Inequality Lab study suggests India could surpass China in share of global GDP in PPP terms by around 2060 under a convergence scenario

Tax rebates: FY26 provisional expenditure, revenue show need for a rethink

The provisional expenditure and revenue numbers for 2025-26 underline the need for reviewing tax rebates

West Asia conflict fallout: India's GDP growth likely slowed in Q4

India's economic growth likely moderated in the March quarter as supply-chain disruptions and weaker high-frequency indicators tempered momentum, though overall activity remained resilient

West Asia crisis may cost India ₹2.1 trillion: Bank of Baroda economists

Bank of Baroda economists warn rising oil prices and subsidy burden may widen fiscal deficit and weigh on India's growth outlook in FY27

RBI likely to hold repo rate at 5.25% through FY27: India Ratings

India Ratings projects GDP growth at 6.7% and inflation at 4.4%, warning that higher crude prices and West Asia tensions may pressure growth and trade deficit

Assam, UP and Meghalaya India's fastest-growing states, says study

Smaller and mid-sized states are emerging as India's fastest-growing economies, signalling a broader and more balanced growth story beyond traditional industrial hubs

Japan's economy expands at 2.1% annual pace, boosted by consumer spending

The Japanese economy grew at an annualised rate of 2.1% in the January-March quarter, the government said Tuesday, showing its resilience despite rising energy prices because of the war in Iran. Japan's real gross domestic product, or GDP, the sum value of a nation's goods and services, grew at a seasonally adjusted 0.5% from the previous quarter. It was the second straight quarter of growth. The annualised number shows what the growth, or contraction, would have been if the quarterly rate continued for a year. Increased spending by consumers and businesses helped contribute to the stronger than expected results. Higher government spending also supported the expansion. Private consumption rose 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, or at an annualised rate of 1.1%, according to the preliminary data from the Cabinet Office. Public demand rose 0.3% from the previous quarter. Japan's economy contracted in July-September last year, then eked out moderate growth in October-December of 0.2% on-quarter

Current account deficit to widen to 2.3% of GDP in FY27 from 0.9% in FY26

India's current account deficit is set to widen to 2.3 per cent of GDP in FY27 from 0.9 per cent in FY26, a foreign brokerage said on Monday. The balance of payments (BoP) deficit is estimated to widen to USD 65 billion in the current fiscal from the last fiscal year's USD 35 billion, it said. HSBC said it has assumed crude prices to average USD 95 a barrel, and combined it with sensitivities in oil, gold, core goods, services trade and remittances to arrive at a current account deficit of 2.3 per cent of GDP in FY27 as against 0.9 per cent in FY26. The BoP forecast has been made after growing through trends in portfolio inflows, FDI flows, and external commercial borrowing (ECBs), it said. The report also looked at forex reserves and opined that the nearly USD 700 billion kitty seems sufficient from the traditional perspective, but suggested the need to look at it from a dynamic perspective, better for the current times of heightened risks amid recurring global shocks. "Using a .

India's 2047 ambitions need large foreign capital inflows, deep reforms

India's 2047 aspirations require large foreign capital inflows and deep reforms to reverse the recent outflow

Morgan Stanley pegs India GDP growth at 6.7% in FY27

Sustained high oil prices, Morgan Stanley cautioned, could trigger non-linear and progressively larger impacts on growth, as the burden on households and firms intensifies over time.

West Asia crisis a 'live balance of payments stress test': CEA Nageswaran

OMCs losing ₹1K cr a day, says Puri; doesn't rule out fuel price hike

Crisil cuts India's FY27 GDP growth forecast to 6.6% on oil risk

Crisil has lowered India's FY27 growth forecast, warning that elevated crude oil prices and supply disruptions could hurt inflation, consumption and investments

US Q1 GDP growth rises 2% as Iran war clouds outlook, fuels inflation

Gross domestic product increased at a 2.0 per cent annualized rate last quarter, the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis said in its advance GDP estimate on Thursday

GDP growth may slip to 6% if Indian crude averages $120/barrel in FY27: EY

India's GDP growth may slip to around 6 per cent and retail inflation could rise to RBI's upper tolerance band of 6 per cent in the current fiscal, if the Indian crude basket price averages USD 120 a barrel, EY India said on Wednesday. EY India Chief Policy Advisor DK Srivastava said, although room for policy interventions is limited, policymakers need to consider upward revision in the repo rate and accelerated diversification of sources of crude supply as the price of the Indian crude basket (ICB) may rise further if the West Asian crisis persists. "If the ICB price averages USD 120 per barrel in FY27, India's real GDP growth may slip to about 6 per cent and CPI inflation may increase to 6 per cent... To minimise the adverse impact on fiscal deficit, increased energy prices should be passed on to the retailers to a relatively larger extent," Srivastava said. The April 2026 release of the US Energy Information Administration EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent crude oil ..