The inflation backdrop provides ample room. Core inflation has edged up, but mainly driven by gold prices
RBI will pare CPI inflation projection again, but might not change growth estimate for now; dovish undertone likely
A SBI research report has pitched for a 25 bps rate cut, saying it is the 'best possible option' for the RBI, though some other experts opined that the central bank's rate-setting panel may again opt for status quo in its bi-monthly policy to be announced on October 1. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Sanjay Malhotra-headed Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is scheduled to begin a three-day brainstorming on policy rate on Monday in the backdrop of the ongoing geopolitical tensions and the US imposing 50 per cent tariffs on Indian shipments. The decision will be announced on October 1 (Wednesday). The RBI reduced the key short-term lending rate (repo) by 100 basis points in three tranches beginning in February, amidst declining consumer price index (CPI) based inflation. However, the central bank opted for a status quo in the August bi-monthly monetary policy, taking a wait-and-watch approach to assess the impact of US tariffs and other geopolitical developments on the domestic ..
Investors should focus on short-to-medium bonds and quality corporate debt as RBI nears the end of its rate cut cycle, says Shah
Research and ratings firm Crisil said that the headline inflation during 2025-26 is projected to be 3.2 per cent, lower than its earlier estimate of 3.5 per cent. In its latest report, Crisil said that the moderation implies a decline of 140 basis points in CPI inflation during this financial year, which is likely to give space for monetary easing. It said the RBI may cut rates by another 25 basis points this year. According to Crisil, lower inflation and reduced interest rates should increase domestic demand in the economy as global headwinds mount. The report also said that the excessive rains during the kharif season is a risk as it could cause disruptions in key horticulture and foodgrain-growing regions like Punjab which is facing its worst floods in four decades. CPI inflation inched up to 2.1 per cent in August 2025, from 1.6 per cent in July, moving above the RBI tolerance threshold of two per cent. Food inflation has started to move up from low levels but trails the head
Bond yields rise despite RBI rate cuts as fiscal risks, GST revenue loss, and global conditions fuel market anxiety, dimming hopes of easing borrowing costs
GST rate cuts are definitely positive for consumption, especially with the festival season approaching, says Nandurkar
Here's how analysts leading brokerages assess the impact of the GST rate rejig on the Indian economy, bond markets and the possibility of an aggressive interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India
RBI study signals a cautiously optimistic outlook for private investments in FY26, backed by healthier balance sheets, policy support, and rising capex momentum
Data from the Annual Survey of Industries (ASI) show that these sectors together employed around 21 million workers directly and via contractors in 2023, Nomura said
Corporates raise record funds through QIPs, block deals and bonds as improved balance sheets and limited loan rate transmission push them towards capital markets
Banks have started passing on the 100-basis point repo rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India over the past three policy meetings
RBI MPC Meeting August 2025 highlights: Stay tuned here for live updates
Banks will be setting up camps at the Panchayat-level from July 1 to September 30, to provide re-KYC services at consumers' doorsteps
RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra confirms the full transmission of February and April rate cuts, supporting a revival in credit growth. Future rate cuts depend on inflation and growth outlook
Subdued inflation has allowed policymakers room to cut rates but with the economy expanding at a rapid 7.4 per cent rate
HDFC Bank's MD & CEO Sashidhar Jagdishan expects loan growth to continue improving as demand picks up. Margins may fluctuate quarterly but will stabilise over time, he added
Liquidity in the system had a deficit of Rs 2.4 trillion towards the end of the last financial year (on March 23); it is now in surplus of around Rs 3 trillion
India's 10-year benchmark bond yield, which fell to 6.13 per cent on June 6, closed at 6.31 per cent on July 15
Prices of oils and fats, for example, increased by over 17 per cent and may require policy attention