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Sensex zooms 500 points; analysts see more upside

The current up move can last a bit longer, technical analysts say, and expect the Nifty to hit 8,750 in the near-term

gained ground on Tuesday, with the S&P Sensex and the Nifty50 indices crossing the 28,000 and 8,600 levels, respectively in intra-day deals. While the S&P Sensex ended around 1.9% higher at 28,050 levels, the Nifty50 also moved up 1.9% to close at 8,677 levels The up move is in-line with most Asian peers – Hang Seng, Nikkei and Shanghai Composite – that rallied between 0.4% - 1.5%.

"A pull back in US dollar, whetted global risk appetite, sparking rallies in currencies, commodities, and global equity markets. Being in the earning season also helped investors to be stock specific, and ignore recent falls. The GST council meeting that is underway also helped investors to look ahead," said Anand James, chief market strategist, Geojit BNP Paribas Financial Services in a note.

Also Read: Global stock indices don't look wildly overpriced: Gopal Bhattacharya

At the global level, the rally comes a day ahead of China’s third quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth data. Back home, analysts are also keeping a tab on the progress on the GST Council’s three-day meet that began on Tuesday to decide key rates. 

"traded firm as investors searched for bargains while traders drove up on short covering. Positive global cues also gave a fillip to domestic as across the globe edged higher with commodities-related leading the gains after prices of major industrial metals and crude oil rose on a softer dollar," suggests Shreyash Devalkar, Fund Manager – Equities, BNP Paribas Mutual Fund.

 
According to a recent Business Standard report, the Centre is likely to propose a four-tier tax structure under the GST, with a peak slab of 26%. Almost 20-25 per cent of all taxable goods, including those consumed by the middle class, could come under the peak rate, the report says.

Also Read: After rate cut, turn to GST, Q2 results

“A lot of things are falling into place for the Indian markets. There is some stability in the geopolitical situation and this will lend stability to the markets. The macro-economic data is also supportive. The hike in rates by the US Federal Reserve (US Fed) is an outcome of strengthening of the US economy. While a rate hike may see a knee-jerk reaction in the markets, but eventually they will bounce back. A lot of expectations have already been built in to the stock prices,” says G Chokkalingam, founder & managing director of & Advisory.

Also Read: Indo-Pak conflict: will recover after knee-jerk reaction, say analysts

Despite the run-up on Tuesday, technical analysts suggest that the current up move can last a bit longer and expect the Nifty to hit 8,750 in the near-term.

“We had been expecting a bounce-back given that the had been drifting lower since the past few sessions. The Nifty has been range-bound between 8,500 and 8,750. The overall bias remains positive and I expect the current up move to extend at least till 8,750 – 8,780 levels. That apart, I do not expect the derivatives expiry for the October series below 8,500 levels. There is a good probability that the Nifty breaks above 8,900 levels in November,” said Sacchidanand Uttekar, equity technical analyst at Securities.

Also Read: Geopolitical risk may impact market sentiment: Manishi Raychaudhuri

On the other hand, Chokkalingam expects the S&P Sensex and the Nifty50 indices to cross 30,000 and 9,300 levels respectively, by December 31, 2016 in case domestic cues, especially the geopolitical situation, remain supportive.

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Business Standard
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Business Standard

Sensex zooms 500 points; analysts see more upside

The current up move can last a bit longer, technical analysts say, and expect the Nifty to hit 8,750 in the near-term

Puneet Wadhwa  |  New Delhi 

Sensex rallies 400 points; analysts see more upside

gained ground on Tuesday, with the S&P Sensex and the Nifty50 indices crossing the 28,000 and 8,600 levels, respectively in intra-day deals. While the S&P Sensex ended around 1.9% higher at 28,050 levels, the Nifty50 also moved up 1.9% to close at 8,677 levels The up move is in-line with most Asian peers – Hang Seng, Nikkei and Shanghai Composite – that rallied between 0.4% - 1.5%.

"A pull back in US dollar, whetted global risk appetite, sparking rallies in currencies, commodities, and global equity markets. Being in the earning season also helped investors to be stock specific, and ignore recent falls. The GST council meeting that is underway also helped investors to look ahead," said Anand James, chief market strategist, Geojit BNP Paribas Financial Services in a note.


Also Read: Global stock indices don't look wildly overpriced: Gopal Bhattacharya

At the global level, the rally comes a day ahead of China’s third quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth data. Back home, analysts are also keeping a tab on the progress on the GST Council’s three-day meet that began on Tuesday to decide key rates. 

"traded firm as investors searched for bargains while traders drove up on short covering. Positive global cues also gave a fillip to domestic as across the globe edged higher with commodities-related leading the gains after prices of major industrial metals and crude oil rose on a softer dollar," suggests Shreyash Devalkar, Fund Manager – Equities, BNP Paribas Mutual Fund.

 
According to a recent Business Standard report, the Centre is likely to propose a four-tier tax structure under the GST, with a peak slab of 26%. Almost 20-25 per cent of all taxable goods, including those consumed by the middle class, could come under the peak rate, the report says.

Also Read: After rate cut, turn to GST, Q2 results

“A lot of things are falling into place for the Indian markets. There is some stability in the geopolitical situation and this will lend stability to the markets. The macro-economic data is also supportive. The hike in rates by the US Federal Reserve (US Fed) is an outcome of strengthening of the US economy. While a rate hike may see a knee-jerk reaction in the markets, but eventually they will bounce back. A lot of expectations have already been built in to the stock prices,” says G Chokkalingam, founder & managing director of & Advisory.

Also Read: Indo-Pak conflict: will recover after knee-jerk reaction, say analysts

Despite the run-up on Tuesday, technical analysts suggest that the current up move can last a bit longer and expect the Nifty to hit 8,750 in the near-term.

“We had been expecting a bounce-back given that the had been drifting lower since the past few sessions. The Nifty has been range-bound between 8,500 and 8,750. The overall bias remains positive and I expect the current up move to extend at least till 8,750 – 8,780 levels. That apart, I do not expect the derivatives expiry for the October series below 8,500 levels. There is a good probability that the Nifty breaks above 8,900 levels in November,” said Sacchidanand Uttekar, equity technical analyst at Securities.

Also Read: Geopolitical risk may impact market sentiment: Manishi Raychaudhuri

On the other hand, Chokkalingam expects the S&P Sensex and the Nifty50 indices to cross 30,000 and 9,300 levels respectively, by December 31, 2016 in case domestic cues, especially the geopolitical situation, remain supportive.

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Sensex zooms 500 points; analysts see more upside

The current up move can last a bit longer, technical analysts say, and expect the Nifty to hit 8,750 in the near-term

The current up move can last a bit longer, technical analysts say, and expect the Nifty to hit 8,750 in the near-term
gained ground on Tuesday, with the S&P Sensex and the Nifty50 indices crossing the 28,000 and 8,600 levels, respectively in intra-day deals. While the S&P Sensex ended around 1.9% higher at 28,050 levels, the Nifty50 also moved up 1.9% to close at 8,677 levels The up move is in-line with most Asian peers – Hang Seng, Nikkei and Shanghai Composite – that rallied between 0.4% - 1.5%.

"A pull back in US dollar, whetted global risk appetite, sparking rallies in currencies, commodities, and global equity markets. Being in the earning season also helped investors to be stock specific, and ignore recent falls. The GST council meeting that is underway also helped investors to look ahead," said Anand James, chief market strategist, Geojit BNP Paribas Financial Services in a note.

Also Read: Global stock indices don't look wildly overpriced: Gopal Bhattacharya

At the global level, the rally comes a day ahead of China’s third quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth data. Back home, analysts are also keeping a tab on the progress on the GST Council’s three-day meet that began on Tuesday to decide key rates. 

"traded firm as investors searched for bargains while traders drove up on short covering. Positive global cues also gave a fillip to domestic as across the globe edged higher with commodities-related leading the gains after prices of major industrial metals and crude oil rose on a softer dollar," suggests Shreyash Devalkar, Fund Manager – Equities, BNP Paribas Mutual Fund.

 
According to a recent Business Standard report, the Centre is likely to propose a four-tier tax structure under the GST, with a peak slab of 26%. Almost 20-25 per cent of all taxable goods, including those consumed by the middle class, could come under the peak rate, the report says.

Also Read: After rate cut, turn to GST, Q2 results

“A lot of things are falling into place for the Indian markets. There is some stability in the geopolitical situation and this will lend stability to the markets. The macro-economic data is also supportive. The hike in rates by the US Federal Reserve (US Fed) is an outcome of strengthening of the US economy. While a rate hike may see a knee-jerk reaction in the markets, but eventually they will bounce back. A lot of expectations have already been built in to the stock prices,” says G Chokkalingam, founder & managing director of & Advisory.

Also Read: Indo-Pak conflict: will recover after knee-jerk reaction, say analysts

Despite the run-up on Tuesday, technical analysts suggest that the current up move can last a bit longer and expect the Nifty to hit 8,750 in the near-term.

“We had been expecting a bounce-back given that the had been drifting lower since the past few sessions. The Nifty has been range-bound between 8,500 and 8,750. The overall bias remains positive and I expect the current up move to extend at least till 8,750 – 8,780 levels. That apart, I do not expect the derivatives expiry for the October series below 8,500 levels. There is a good probability that the Nifty breaks above 8,900 levels in November,” said Sacchidanand Uttekar, equity technical analyst at Securities.

Also Read: Geopolitical risk may impact market sentiment: Manishi Raychaudhuri

On the other hand, Chokkalingam expects the S&P Sensex and the Nifty50 indices to cross 30,000 and 9,300 levels respectively, by December 31, 2016 in case domestic cues, especially the geopolitical situation, remain supportive.

image
Business Standard
177 22

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