Business Standard

Exit polls off mark in Haryana, Maharashtra; fail to gauge opposition fight

The biggest shocker is in Haryana where at least three exit polls predicted decimation of the opposition, but the BJP is set to win 40 seats in the 90-member assembly and the Congress 31 seats

Press Trust of India  |  New Delhi 

Congress, elections
Karad: Congress supporters celebrate outside Prithviraj Chavan's residence after he won Karad (South) constituency in the Maharashtra assembly polls, in Karad, Thursday, Oct. 24, 2019. (PTI Photo) (

Most had predicted that the BJP would shellack its rivals in Maharashtra and Haryana, but they turned out to be way off the mark, failing to gauge the fight put up by the opposition.

The biggest shocker is in Haryana where at least three predicted decimation of the opposition, but the BJP is set to win 40 seats in the 90-member assembly and the Congress 31 seats.

The forecast did not match the actual results.

The ABP-C Voter had predicted 70 seats for the BJP and eight for the Congress, while the CNN-IPSOS and Times Now forecast of 75 and 71 for the BJP and 10 and 11 for the Congress respectively.

The India Today-Axis poll was the only one to get it right in Haryana.

It had predicted a tough contest between the Congress and the BJP. It said the BJP will win 32-44 seats in Haryana, while the Congress will bag 30-42 seats and 6-10 seats for the Dushyant Chautala-led Jannayaka Janta Party (JPP).

Its forecast about the actual results in Maharashtra was also close to the actual results.

In Maharashtra, the India Today-Axis poll predicted 166-194 seats for the BJP-Shiv Sena, 72-90 for the Congress-NCP and 22-34 for other smaller parties and independents.

In Maharashtra, the BJP-Shiv Sena combine is set to bag 159 seats and the Congress-NCP alliance 102 seats.

The ABP-C Voter had a made a forecast of 210 seats for the BJP and 63 seats for the Congress-NCP alliance, while the Times Now gave 230 and eight for 48 for the BJP-Sena and the Congress-NCP combine.

First Published: Thu, October 24 2019. 21:20 IST
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