India's crude import strategy is entering a phase of calibrated rebalancing rather than abrupt realignment, with Middle Eastern suppliers led by Saudi Arabia regaining market share even as Russian volumes remain significant but increasingly shaped by geopolitics and compliance constraints, according to shipping data and analysts. During February 1-18, India's total crude imports averaged 4.85 million barrels per day (bpd), down 8 per cent from January's 5.25 million bpd, as flows from Russia cooled following US sanctions on key Russian exporters and the European Union's 18th sanctions package coming into effect last month. Ship tracking data showed Russian shipments to India declining from 1.28 million bpd in December 2025 to 1.22 million bpd in January and further to around 1.09 million bpd in early February, down about 10 per cent month-on-month. "Russian crude imports into India are estimated at around 1.0-1.2 million bpd in February, easing toward roughly 800,000 bpd to 1 millio
The crude was bought in two separate deals and will be co-loaded on a very large crude carrier to cut shipping costs, lifting India's Venezuelan imports to at least 6 million barrels through April
New Delhi has not officially announced plans to halt Russian oil imports
Officials of Indian refiners evaluating Russian crude alongside other grades from Brazil, Angola and UAE
The MEA said India is open to sourcing crude from Venezuela and other countries based on commercial viability, adding that energy security for 1.4 billion people remains its top priority
After India-US trade deal, Kremlin says India has always bought oil from many countries; Moscow sees India's plan to diversify oil supplies as nothing new or surprising
Along with price discounts, India must replace around 1.7 million barrels per day of average Russian crude imports
Indian companies have already booked cargoes loading in February and arriving in March, so a wind-down period would be needed to fulfil existing commitments
Donald Trump claimed India will buy Venezuelan oil instead of Iranian crude as Washington moves to cut Russia-linked oil trade and ease some sanctions on Venezuela
The US effort to supply Venezuelan crude to India comes as Washington also seeks to reduce Russian oil revenues that are funding the war in Ukraine
Reliance last received Russian crude in December after securing a one-month US concession that allowed it to wind down dealings with the sanctioned Russian oil producer Rosneft
The Trump administration is weighing a Russia sanctions bill by Senator Lindsey Graham that would allow the US to impose tariffs of at least 500 per cent on countries that continue buying Russian oil
India is diversifying its crude slate by stepping up purchases from traditional suppliers such as Iraq and Saudi Arabia
Recent geopolitical developments have seen record fuel supplies, expanded discounts on oil and robust domestic appetite for fuel
On January 3, the US launched a large-scale operation in Venezuela's capital Caracas and captured President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores
India on Friday said it is closely following developments relating to a proposed American legislation that seeks to impose up to 500 per cent tariff on countries procuring Russian crude oil. India and China are among a handful of countries which are procuring a significant volume of crude oil from Russia. US Senator Lindsey Graham, the author of the bill, said this week that President Donald Trump has green-lighted the proposed legislation. "We are aware of the proposed bill. We are closely following the developments," External Affairs Ministry Spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal said at his weekly media briefing here. "Our position on the larger question of energy sourcing is well known." "In this endeavour, we are guided by the evolving dynamics of the global market and by the imperative to secure affordable energy from diverse sources to meet the energy security needs of our 1.4 billion people," he said.
India's imports of Russian crude are likely to dip below 1 million barrels per day as New Delhi seeks to clinch a trade deal with Washington
Trump warns of higher tariffs on Indian imports if New Delhi continues buying Russian oil, sharpening trade tensions amid stalled India-US deal talks
Donald Trump claimed Prime Minister Narendra Modi knew he was not happy about India's purchase of Russian oil, saying the US could further raise tariffs 'very quickly'
Overall Russian oil deliveries to India had slowed to as little as 712,000 barrels a day in the second week of December, before rising, according to Kpler