All 38 economists in a Bloomberg survey expect the Reserve Bank of India's six-member monetary policy committee to keep the repurchase rate unchanged at 6.5 per cent for a fourth straight time
The surge in the headline CPI inflation has expectedly proved to be transient. The print had cooled off to 6.8 per cent in August 2023 from the 15-month high of 7.4 per cent in July
The central bank is targeting to keep inflation between 2% and 6% but the consumer price index accelerated by 7.44% last month
Varma said rural demand was an issue, and a poor monsoon was as much of a growth shock as it was an inflation shock
Led by vegetables, food inflation in India soared to an over 3-year high of 11.5% in July. This pushed retail inflation to 7.44%, above the RBI's comfort band
The MPC, which has three members from the central bank and three external members, kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.50% in an unanimous decision
Various analysts that Business Standard spoke to put GDP growth in the range of 7 to 8.5 per cent for Q1 of FY24
MPC is prepared to act if required
RBI has kept the policy rate unchanged at 6.5 per cent
Inflation unlikely to fall to 4% target even in Q1 FY25; GDP growth projections kept intact
RBI policy meet: Shaktikanta Das also announced a revised retail inflation projection for FY24 at 5.4 per cent from 5.1 per cent earlier
The rupee appreciated by 5 paise to 82.80 against the US dollar in early trade on Thursday ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy decision. However, weak domestic equities and elevated crude prices weighed on the local unit, said analysts. Investors were trading cautiously ahead of the Reserve Bank's rate-setting panel MPC's monetary policy decision. The MPC meeting started its three-day review meeting on Tuesday. At the interbank foreign exchange, the domestic unit opened stronger at 82.81 against the dollar and touched 82.80, registering a gain of 5 paise over its previous close. On Wednesday, the rupee appreciated 6 paise to settle at 82.85 against the dollar. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, fell by 0.02 per cent to 102.47. Global oil benchmark Brent crude was trading 0.14 per cent lower at USD 87.43 per barrel. In the domestic equity market, the 30-share BSE Sensex was trading 211.55 points
Bhide's comments echo that of Governor Shaktikanta Das that a pivot can be considered when price-gains settle near the mid-point of its 2%-6% range on a durable basis
Domestic markets have been concerned about India being pressured to follow the US Federal Reserve in raising rates to ensure that a too-narrow rate differential does not restrict dollar inflows
The weather announcement on Thursday provided some relief to the rate-setters and millions of farmers across India, but the concerns are not quite over
RBI is rightly focused on the inflation target
The central bank retained the growth projection for FY24 at 6.5 per cent
'Banks have been cautious. I think there is still some amount of liquidity sitting there', said Das
The Reserve Bank of India's decision to keep policy rates unchanged was on expected lines, banking and financial experts said on Thursday. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), which has three members from RBI and an equal number of external experts, voted unanimously to keep the benchmark repurchase, or repo rate unchanged at 6.50 per cent. Punjab National Bank MD & CEO Atul Kr Goel said that keeping policy rates unchanged was "in line with the market expectations" in view of easing retail inflation and anticipation of a further decline. He also said that maintaining the growth projection of GDP for the current financial year at 6.5 per cent reflects that RBI remains sanguine about economic growth. Bandhan Bank Chief Economist and Head of Research said the status quo on the repo rate in the MPC meeting was "almost a foregone conclusion". "Interestingly, despite lowering the consumer price index inflation forecast for the first quarter of the current fiscal by 50 basis points, the
The blue-chip Nifty 50 index closed 0.49% lower at 18,634.55, while the benchmark S&P BSE Sensex fell 0.47% to 62,848.64