UBS' Global Oil team has also raised their near-term oil price forecasts, Q1-26E to $71/bbl (around $80/bbl for March), and the average for 2026 to $72/bbl
Brent crude rose as much as 28.9 per cent to $119.5. West Texas Intermediate, the light, sweet crude oil produced in the US, was trading at $113.4 a barrel, up 24.7 per cent from Friday's close
Iran war impact: Nomura sees windfall gains for refiners like RIL but margin squeeze for Indian Oil, BPCL and HPCL amid rising crude and gas disruptions
Rising crude costs, reduced access to discounted Russian oil and heavy capex may pressure OMCs, though strong GRMs, demand growth and LPG subsidies support profits
The combined net profits of the listed companies excluding these cyclical sectors were up just 7.5 per cent Y-o-Y, decelerating from 17.2 per cent in Q3FY25 and 10.9 per cent in Q2FY26
In his video post, Ajay Singh repeatedly referred to his agonising condition as the govt owned companies has stopped buying ethanol from his plant in Bihar, putting his entire business into turmoil
HPCL has retreated sharply from its all-time high, and also underperformed its peers BPCL and IOC in the month of January thus far. Tech chart shows the stock is trading at the 200-DMA on Friday.
The upstream sector wants a reduction in cess on crude oil, restoration of tax holidays for new blocks and exemption of exploration activities from GST
The US President Donald Trump approved a bipartisan Bill titled the 'Sanctioning of Russia Act 2025', according to US Senator Lindsey Graham
OMC's are well positioned to benefit from fall in crude prices, improvement in refining margins, fuel consumption growth and petchem demand growth in India.
The next few quarters could favour downstream refiners and marketers over upstream, with Brent expected to stay in a $60-65 range or drift lower, while GRMs remain strong and LPG under-recoveries ease
Despite the near-term volatility, HPCL's valuations remain reasonable, the brokerage noted. The stock trades at 1.4x one-year forward price-to-book, slightly above its long-term average of 1.2x.
Oil marketing companies (OMCs) are poised for a sharp rebound, with operating profits expected to surge more than 50 per cent to USD 18-20 per barrel this fiscal year, driven by stronger marketing margins amid stable retail fuel prices and supportive crude oil dynamics, Crisil Ratings said on Friday. OMCs earn from refining (gross refining margins or GRMs) and from marketing of petrol, diesel, and other fuels. "This fiscal, the improvement in marketing margin will more than offset a moderation in refining margin owing to slow growth in global demand for fossil fuels as the world transitions towards cleaner energy sources," Crisil Ratings said in a note. Healthy profitability is set to bolster cash accruals to Rs 75,000-80,000 crore, compared with about Rs 55,000 crore last fiscal year. The stronger cash flow will support the sector's planned Rs 90,000 crore capex, largely focused on brownfield expansion and domestic demand-driven projects. Crude oil prices are expected to soften to
India's decision to import LPG from the US helps it to diversify sources as it reduces almost full reliance on West Asian countries for supply of the country's primary cooking fuel
Fitch Ratings says sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil - which supply around 60% of India's Russian crude - may not materially affect OMC margins, though compliance challenges
Outlook on OMCs: Analysts at Motilal Oswal revised upwards the FY26/FY27 estimates for OMCs factoring in monthly LPG under recovery compensation over Nov'25-Oct'26 under revenue.
Centre's move to allow 1.5 million tonnes of sugar exports offers relief to a stressed sector grappling with ethanol allocation cuts, cane price hikes, and growing political pressure
In the past one week, the BSE Oil & Gas index up 3.4 per cent, as compared to 0.91 per cent decline in the BSE Sensex.
BPCL shares rose after it reported a 168 per cent Y-o-Y jump in standalone net profit at ₹6,442 crore for the second quarter
Both grain and sugarcane ethanol producers criticise OMCs' allocation for 2025-26, citing unfair distribution, capacity underuse, and potential negative impact on the sugar sector