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Trump heads to G20 primed for new conflicts

AFP  |  Buenos Aires 

US jets to Thursday for a summit, keen to do battle with on trade and sharpening his rhetoric over against ahead of a meeting with its leader

The weekend summit is confronted with increasingly dire warnings, by the among others, of the potential harm faced by the world economy from Trump's trade wars.

leaders, whose countries account for four-fifths of the world's economic output, first met in November 2008 to forge a united front against the global financial crisis.

A decade on, that unity has vanished as the "America First" Trump shreds the consensus underpinning international trade and other countries such as Brazil, and turn to populist leaders.

Trump has already rattled global markets by enacting tariffs on the bulk of Chinese imports, and is threatening to go further in January.

He will press Chinese to avert the stepped-up tariffs by throwing open China's markets to US competition and protecting foreign companies' intellectual property.

On Wednesday, US Trade slammed for failing to offer "meaningful reform" on aggressive trade policies, and threatened tariffs on Chinese autos.

But how far can Xi go in overhauling the model that has powered to second place in the world economic rankings? He did vow on Wednesday that would boost protection of intellectual property. But foreign firms in China complain that such promises are all too routine and ring hollow.

At best, analysts say, there will be a temporary truce at the G20 to give both Trump and Xi something to crow about.

French warned against the risk of "a tete-a-tete between China and the and of a destructive trade war for all" ahead of the summit, in an interview with Argentine daily

"If we do not show concrete progress, our international meetings become useless and even counterproductive," he said.

Despite doubts that a separate planned encounter at the G20 between Trump and Russian President would go ahead, Kremlin told journalists Thursday that had "confirmed the meeting."

Trump had threatened to cancel the meeting as he expressed "deep concern" over a weekend incident near Crimea that saw Russian security forces board and detain three Ukrainian vessels -- an action Putin defended.

But Peskov said the meeting in would start around noon on Saturday with "brief talks between the leaders," followed by broader Russia-US talks that could last around an hour.

Meanwhile the US, and are expected on Friday to sign a revamped version of the North American trade pact NAFTA, which Trump excoriated when running for president.

If that negotiation has averted one trade war, others are brewing with Trump threatening to impose tariffs on foreign car imports, targeting and in particular.

In a pre-G20 report, the IMF said the auto tariffs could cut three-fourths of a percent off the global economy.

Britain's "Brexit" separation from the is another threat to global growth, IMF said.

and Xi, will arrive in late on Thursday to bring another intriguing subplot to the world's pre-eminent economic forum.

Britain and went to war over the in 1982, and May will be the first serving British leader ever to visit the Argentine capital. In the here and now, May will use the G20 to sell Britain's post-Brexit trading future outside the EU.

But Trump has done her no favors by mocking a hard-fought withdrawal agreement negotiated between and Brussels, and May still has to win backing for the deal from the fractious

Trump has already shown his disdain for international summitry by blocking final communiques at other recent gatherings such as the and the bloc APEC, setting the stage for a fractious G20 on Friday and Saturday.

Thomas Wright, senior fellow at the in Washington, said "there's a deep division in this G20 now between democracies and authoritarians." "Now I think it's really been stripped bare," he said, adding there was an opening for a like France's or Canada's to make a splash in Argentina by standing up to Trump.

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Thu, November 29 2018. 16:50 IST