In its recent GREED & fear note Wood said, in the base case, it expects the Russia-Ukraine conflict to continue in the months leading US presidential election in November.
China's official gold reserves, Wood said, have increased by 314 tonnes, or 16.1 per cent, from 1,948 tonnes at the end of October 2022 to 2,262 tonnes at the end of March 2024
This, he wrote in his weekly note, GREED & fear, will be paid for by reducing the existing investments in Bajaj Finance, Oil & Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC), and Reliance Industries (RIL)
As many as 497, or half of 1050 stocks, from the midcap and smallcap index have outperformed the all benchmark indices and appreciated over 35 per cent during Samvat 2079
Markets may correct 25% if BJP loses in 2024: Chris Wood at BS BFSI Summit
Over the past few weeks, equity markets have reacted sharply to the developments in West Asia with most frontline indices across the globe slipping 1 per cent to 7 per cent.
An immediate fallout of the developments has been on crude oil prices, which are now nearing $94 a barrel (Brent crude), rising nearly 12 per cent from $84 a barrel a fortnight ago
The 10-year Treasury bond yield rose by 203 basis points (bps) from 8.2 per cent on 17 June, 1987 to 10.23 per cent on 15 October, 1987
That said, Chris Wood believes that the 'picks and shovels theme' for AI remains the most compelling story for now, which is why Nvidia remains his core holding despite valuation at 41x sales.
India will see a series of state polls this year and a general election in 2024
The target implies an upside of nearly 62 per cent from the current levels. Wood believes that India remains the best structural story across world markets.
Chris Wood has added Axis Bank and increased holding in Larsen & Toubro in India long-only portfolio Asia ex-Japan, excludes ICICI Lombard General Insurance.
In terms of sectors, Wood remains bullish on the real estate sector and suggests the Indian realty market to be one of Asia's hottest investment bets, besides Singapore
The MSCI Pakistan Index, according to Wood's note, is trading on 3.7x forecast 2023 consensus earnings and a 2023 forecast dividend yield of 10.2 per cent
A rally in the US markets amid hope of a softer central bank (US Fed) action going ahead, analysts believe, has the potential to fuel a rally in other global equity markets, including India
Most global markets have staged a smart recovery since their June 2022 lows. The S&P BSE Sensex has outperformed its peers with a rise of around 13 per cent since then
The information technology sector (IT), Jefferies believes, remains at significant risk of sell-off if the Nifty were to correct
In his Asia Pacific ex-Japan asset portfolio, allocation to Indian equities at 16 per cent is the second highest after his exposure to China, which stands at 31 per cent.
Further evidence of economic resilience and animal spirits, according to Wood, is continuing strong goods and services tax (GST) revenues and buoyant retail sales
The US Fed raised the target range for the federal funds rate by another 75 bps to 2.25-2.50 per cent in its July meeting. The FOMC statement has downgraded its assessment of the economic situation