Oil prices spike past $100 amid Iran war and supply cuts, raising fears of a sharply higher import bill, inflation and current account deficit for India
Leading market experts decode Monday's stock market crash, crude oil's sharp spike and the investment strategy that one can adopt in this backdrop.
If global crude averages $110-115 per barrel in FY27, India's net oil imports could rise by $56-64 billion annually, worsening the current account deficit and fuelling inflation
Oil prices eclipsed USD 100 per barrel for the first time in more than three-and-a-half years on Sunday as the Iran war hinders production and shipping in the Middle East. The price for a barrel of Brent crude, the international standard, was at USD 107.97 after trading resumed on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, up 16.5 per cent from its Friday closing price of USD 92.69. West Texas Intermediate, the light, sweet crude oil produced in the United States, was selling for about USD 106.22 a barrel. That is 16.9 per cent higher than it closed Friday at USD 90.90. Both could rise or fall as market trading continued. The increases followed the US crude price jumping by 36 per cent and Brent crude rising by 28 per cent last week. Oil prices have surged as the war, now in its second week, ensnared countries and places that are critical to the production and movement of oil and gas from the Persian Gulf. Roughly 15 million barrels of crude oil -- about 20 per cent of the world's oil -- ..
Kunal Kamble, technical analyst at Bonanza helps decode a trading strategy in oil & gas related stocks as Crude Oil prices surge to a multi-year high around $119 per barrel on Monday.
Within days of the US-Israel attacks on Iran, crude oil prices have surged past $100 a barrel for the first time since the early fallout of Russia's invasion of Ukraine
On-going escalation of the Iran-Israel-US conflict tends to spike global crude oil prices, which in turn drive up petcoke and diesel prices, affecting cement manufacturers margins, say analysts.
Brent crude oil has topped the $100-mark which may trigger a 10 per cent fall in Nifty, warns ICICI Securities. Rising oil prices could widen India's trade deficit and push inflation higher
G7 nations are set to discuss a coordinated oil release from strategic reserves via the International Energy Agency as the West Asia conflict pushes crude prices higher and raises supply concerns
Ambuja Cements, DLF, Dixon, Gail, Indian Hotels, Shree Cement, REC, Tata Motors PV, Wipro, Suzlon, Coforge, and Info Edge, among the BSE 100 index, also hit their respective 52-week lows amid Iran war
On March 9, the combined market cap of all BSE-listed companies had fallen by ₹12.78 trillion, sliding to ₹436.89 trillion from the previous session's close of ₹449.68 trillion
The war has significantly disrupted energy markets and heightened concerns about supply flows through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most critical oil shipping routes
The strait carries about a fifth of global oil flows, as well as gas, fertilizer and other products
Selective IT services companies with strong digital portfolios, diversified clients, and disciplined cost structures could indeed present a contrarian opportunity, he said.
Indian refiners have begun negotiating for additional crude cargoes from the US, Russia and West Africa to ensure supplies remain adequate in the event of the Middle East conflict drags on for a longer period, industry officials and analysts said. Refineries, which convert crude oil into fuels like petrol and diesel, have deferred planned maintenance shutdowns and are maintaining normal processing rates to create buffers that could meet the country's requirement in the near term, they said. India imports about 88 per cent of its crude oil requirement, with roughly half of those supplies in February passing through the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow sea lane between Iran and Oman that serves as a key energy transit route for global markets. The recent military strikes by the United States and Israel on Iran, and Tehran's retaliatory attacks on US bases in neighbouring countries as well as Israel, have sharply escalated tensions in the region, leading to a near halt in tanker movements
Some barrels from US are fetching their biggest premium since 2020, and value of major Norwegian grade, which moves almost lockstep with Brent, has gained more than $5 on the benchmark this week
ADB says India's crude oil reserves of about 100 million barrels-enough for 40-45 days-leave the country exposed to potential supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz
Oil prices, Rogers said, could definitely cross $100 a barrel again, especially if the geopolitical developments continue.
A supply disruption even at the mid-range of volumes at risk-7 to 8 million b/d of crude and products-would be higher than the volume that was initially at risk when Russia invaded Ukraine
The "war premium" has pushed Brent crude toward the $100 per barrel threshold, reigniting stagflation ary fears that central banks thought they had conquered