Page 32 - Global Economy

Global economy moving from 'relative predictability' to uncertainty: IMF MD

The global economy is moving from a world of relative predictability to one of greater uncertainty, IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva has said, warning that countries accounting for about one-third of the world economy will experience at least two consecutive quarters of contraction this or next year. In a major policy speech here ahead of the annual meeting of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, IMF Managing Director Georgieva on Thursday said the World Economic Outlook to be released next week would further downgrade the global growth projections. We have downgraded our growth projections three times already, to only 3.2 per cent for 2022 and 2.9 per cent for 2023. And as you will see in our updated World Economic Outlook next week, we will downgrade growth for next year, she said. We will flag that the risks of recession are rising. We estimate that countries accounting for about one-third of the world economy will experience at least two consecutive quarters o

IMF warns of higher recession risk and darker global outlook in 2023

The International Monetary Fund is once again lowering its projections for global economic growth in 2023, projecting world economic growth lower by USD 4 trillion through 2026. Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the IMF, told an audience at Georgetown University on Thursday that things are more likely to get worse before it gets better. Georgieva said the institution downgraded its global growth projections already three times, to 3.2 per cent for 2022 and now 2.9 per cent for 2023.

World currency reserves shrink by $1 trn this yr in record drawdown

Reserves have declined by about $1 trillion, or 7.8%, this year to $12 trillion, the biggest drop since Bloomberg started to compile the data in 2003

WTO slashes global 2023 trade growth forecast to 1% as recession looms

The fresh WTO forecasts estimate world GDP at market exchange rates will grow by 2.8% in 2022 and 2.3% in 2023 - the latter is 1 percentage point lower than what was previously projected

Why are global CEOs bullish about India?

India continues to remain as a bright spot on the world economic map. That's the sentiment echoed by prominent global CEOs recently. Find out the reasons driving the bullish sentiment

World factory activity weakens on global slowdown, cost pressures

Those hikes have stoked fears of a sharp downturn in global demand that had underpinned exports

Automation Anywhere raises $200 mn from Silicon Valley Bank, others

The firm's cloud customers have run an estimated 50 million automations in 2022, with leading firms deploying thousands of bots across their organisations

How should India respond to future shocks in an off-balance changed world?

The global engines of growth have become the sources of instability and uncertainty. T N Ninan explores what India should do

Chief economists' survey says global recession increasingly likely

A global recession is becoming increasingly likely due to stubbornly high inflation and real wages continuing to fall, the World Economic Forum said on Wednesday citing a survey of chief economists from across the world. According to the WEF Chief Economists Outlook report, real wages are expected to continue falling across the world in 2022-2023 and the cost of living crisis is threatening social unrest, though inflationary pressures are expected to ease in the next year. The survey showed that food security could be at risk across large swathes of the globe over the next three years. Referring to rising concerns about food security triggering export restrictions, which risk exacerbating global supply disruptions, the report said India, the world's largest rice exporter, introduced a ban on exports of broken rice and a 20 per cent export duty on other grades of rice. "Given that the stability of rice prices in 2022 was instrumental in preventing a fully-fledged global food crisis,

World is 'edging into' a recession, warns WTO chief Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala

"The indicators are not looking good," WTO Director-General Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala said during an interview in Geneva Tuesday. "I think a global recession - that is what I think we are edging into."

'India has fairly large forex reserve to deal with current situation'

Economic affairs secretary Ajay Seth on Tuesday dismissed the concerns over depletion of forex reserve as "overblown" and said India has fairly large reserve to tide over the current situation. Foreign exchange reserves were down for a seventh continuous week, dropping to USD 545.65 billion on September 16. The reserves, which have been dipping as the central bank deploys the kitty to defend the currency amid a pressure caused majorly by global developments, had declined by USD 2.23 billion to USD 550.87 billion in the previous week. "There has been a depletion as inflows have come down and trade deficit is higher...I don't see this as a concern, India has fairly large reserves to tide over this situation," Seth said. After hitting a record low at 81.67 against dollar on Monday, the rupee recovered on Tuesday and closed at 81.58 against the greenback. Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Monday had said "due to the strength of our microeconomic fundamentals, rupee is holding out

Foreign trade policy extended by six months amid global headwinds

An FTP is an elaborate policy guideline and a strategy to promote export of goods and services

Energy, inflation crises risk pushing big economies into recession: OECD

In a bleak report titled Paying the price of war, the Paris-based organisation noted that the conflict aggravated inflationary pressure when the cost of living was already rising quickly.

Global economy to grow at 2.7% in 2022, 2.3% in 2023: Moody's Analytics

Moody's Analytics predicted the global economy to grow at 2.7 per cent in 2022 and slow to 2.3 per cent in 2023

Gap widens between US, India on interest rate hikes since pandemic low

US has hiked rates by 75 basis points on Wednesday to help keep inflation in check

Russia war, virus and climate hurting world's poorest, warns OECD

Russia's war against Ukraine, the lingering coronavirus pandemic and the damage of climate change are putting intense pressure on the world's poorest, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development warned Monday. The Paris-based OECD reported that 60 states, territories and locations fell last year into the category of fragile contexts'' meaning they were exposed to economic, environmental, social and political risks that they didn't have the capacity to absorb. And that was before Russia invaded Ukraine and intensified their burdens. Monday's report designated the most places in such dire straits since the OECD began issuing its States of Fragility report in 2015. The 60 account for 24% of the world's population, 73% of those living in extreme poverty, 80% of those who died in conflicts and the vast majority of the world's hunger hotspots.'' And they are home to 95% of the record 274 million people the United Nations says need humanitarian assistance. We are in an era

FedEx troubles set off fresh worries among investors over global economy

The delivery giant's shares lost 21 per cent on Friday, its biggest one-day percentage drop ever

European stocks set for weekly loss as global economic outlook worsens

In the UK, retail sales fell more than expected, in another sign that the economy is sliding into recession as the cost-of-living crisis squeezes households' disposable spending

Oil steadies but remains on track for weekly decline on rate hike fear

Brent crude futures were up 25 cents, or 0.3%, at $91.09 a barrel by 0921 GMT but were down 1.9% for the week.

Barclays forecasts contraction in fourth quarter for major economies

Barclays forecast a slowdown in global growth to 2.2% in 2023 versus 2.8% this year, and warned that it expects advanced economies to contract in Q4 with zero growth next year