Page 5 - Us Economy

India to remain fastest growing even as FY26 GDP forecast cut to 6.2-6.7%

Amid the ongoing tariff war and uncertainty over the US trade policy, international agencies have cut India's growth projections by up to 0.5 per cent for the current fiscal, though the country will continue to be the fastest growing major economy. India is expected to grow in the range of 6.2-6.7 per cent in the current fiscal, despite the possibility of the US economy slipping into recession, China's growth taking a heavy beating and globally, countries seeing slowing economic activity. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank have slashed India's growth projections for 2025-26 to 6.2 per cent and 6.3 per cent, respectively, citing uncertain global environment and high trade tensions. In January, the IMF and the World Bank had projected India to grow at 6.5 per cent and 6.7, respectively, in the current fiscal. The Indian economy is estimated to have grown 6.5 per cent in the last fiscal. As per the projections by the Reserve Bank of India, the country's economy

US futures make cautious gains on tariff relief, but recession fears remain

After an initial jump, S&P 500 futures pared gains to be up 0.8 per cent, while Nasdaq futures rose 1.25 per cent

US Fed could be in 'difficult' spot with higher prices, slower hiring

The prospect of high inflation stemming from widespread tariffs along with weaker hiring could put the Federal Reserve in a difficult spot, Fed policymakers said in minutes from last month's meeting. The minutes, released Wednesday, said that the Fed could keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged if inflation remained stubbornly elevated. And they said it could cut its rate if growth slowed and unemployment rose. The minutes were for the Fed's March 18-19 meeting. But if both happened at the same time, the Fed may face difficult tradeoffs, some of the 19 officials on the central bank's interest-rate setting committee said. Rising unemployment can often lead to a recession, when the Fed would normally slash its key rate to support more borrowing and spending and stimulate the economy. Yet Fed officials would likely be reluctant to cut if inflation rose, because it usually seeks to cool higher prices by keeping its key rate unchanged or even raising it if necessary. The minutes ..

Fed's Musalem sees growth slipping below trend, higher inflation risk

Higher prices from tariffs could lead to a one-time price shock that the Fed could largely look through in setting policy, though Musalem said he regarded that approach as risky

'Don't wait': Trump lures businesses to US with no tariffs, fast approvals

US President Donald Trump encouraged businesses to follow the example of Apple and other firms that have recently expanded in the US

US President Trump move shaves off Rs 14 trillion in market capitalisation

The wealth destruction is on account of fears that the tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump would upend global trade, slow global growth and push the US economy into recession

From Ray-Bans to wigs, American buyers may see unexpected price hikes

During Trump's first term when he imposed much more limited tariffs on China, many companies reported they lacked pricing power to pass on costs to consumers

Trump's reciprocal tariffs to push US economy into recession: JPMorgan

JPMorgan's forecast came alongside similar changes from other banks, which have been slashing projections for US growth this year since the tariff announcement

They played it wrong, warns Donald Trump on China's reciprocal tariffs

China's countermeasure follows the US' announcement on April 2 of a 34 per cent reciprocal tariff on Chinese goods

US job growth beats expectations in March amid Trump's tariff concerns

The labor market is being underpinned by low layoffs, generating solid wage gains that are helping to sustain the economic expansion

Trump's tariffs have unleashed worst of all possible worlds for his voters

Trump, speaking on Air Force One on Thursday afternoon, said he was open to reducing tariffs if trading partners were able to offer something "phenomenal"

Trump tariffs wipe out $2.5 trn from US stock market amid recession fears

The breadth and severity of the levies dwarfed those imposed by Trump during his first term, threatening to upend global supply chains, exacerbate an economic slowdown and boost inflation

How Donald Trump's tariffs were honed in the final hours before rollout

For a policy Trump championed for months on the campaign trail and vowed to implement quickly as the centerpiece of his economic agenda, the messiness of the rollout was inescapable

White House weighs executive order to fast-track deep-sea mining: Report

If signed, the order would mark US President Donald Trump's latest attempt to tap international deposits of nickel, copper and other critical minerals used widely across the economy

Liberation day: How should Indian firms and policymakers respond?

Firms in India tend to be highly connected into the US economy through elite human networks

US economy expands 2.4% in Q4 after upgrade; full year growth at 2.8%

The US economy expanded at a healthy annual 2.4 per cent pace the last three months of 2024, supported by a year-end surge in consumer spending, the government said Thursday in a slight upgrade of its previous estimate of fourth-quarter growth. But it's unclear whether the United States can sustain solid growth as President Donald Trump wages trade wars, purges the federal workforce and promises mass deportations of immigrants working in the country illegally. The Commerce Department said that growth in gross domestic product the nation's output of goods and services decelerated from a 3.1 per cent pace in July-September 2024. For all of 2024, the economy the world's biggest grew 2.8 per cent.

US core capital goods orders drop in Feb amid uncertainty over tariffs

Non-defence capital goods orders excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, dropped 0.3 per cent last month after an upwardly revised 0.9 per cent surge in January

US manufacturing output accelerates in Feb on surge in motor vehicle output

Manufacturing, which accounts for 10.3 per cent of the economy, has been recovering as the US central bank started cutting interest rates in September

US Fed expected to cut rates twice this year, starting in September

Fed officials have signaled they may be on hold for some time amid uncertainty around President Donald Trump's economic policies, particularly on trade

Donald Trump defends tariffs before corporate America as stocks sell off

US stocks on Tuesday extended a selloff that has dragged the benchmark S&P 500 down 5.3 per cent so far in 2025, with investors rattled over increased tariffs on imports