Lockdown was a brave decision. Now, policy-making requires a similar display of boldness
In the second part of a series, the authors say the current uncertainties require room for discretion to serve as a necessary handmaiden of rules that cannot alone cater to all contingencies
Calls for fiscal stimulus and monetary overreach will not help deal with the pandemic's economic consequences
In the first part of a series, the authors argue the means must be found to avert potential economic and social collapse post-Covid
RBI failed to gauge a greater-than-anticipated contraction in gross-fixed capital formation and continuing weak activity, especially in the rural areas.
"The government lacks the fiscal space. It will not be feasible to give grants to the industry to take care of its wage bills," sources said.
India will have to address the big fiscal prudence challenge, which is not captured by the fiscal deficit/GDP metric
Extending the lockdown could lead to more deaths
The immediate priority is navigating through the Covid-19 situation and ensuring business continuity"
There may be no official word yet on how the Centre's tax revenue assumptions for the current year have gone awry
Gross fixed capital formation - an indicator of investment demand -as a percentage of GDP, fell to nearly two-decade low
The funding need can change materially
Once the lockdown is lifted, we will need the mother of all fiscal and monetary policy support to sustain the economy
Policy interventions will have to be intelligent: Striving to create deep, but temporary, safety nets during COVID-19 without generating imbalances and distortions thereafter
Sub-optimal responses against viral pandemics and crony lending would keep resurfacing if voters do not hold govts accountable
Sen further said that due to the ongoing 21-day shutdown, there may be a reduction of about Rs 5 trillion in gross domestic product
Exceptional circumstances are sometimes the catalyst for exceptional leaders to emerge; they can also be extremely harsh for those who fail the leadership test.
Lockdown can't be a substitute for quick action in other areas
COVID-19 will cause no less a disruption to the economy than the goods and services tax has done
US Federal Reserve urged not to restrict the quantum of stimulus measures