Let us look at the data. We find out technically that there was a regime shift in terms of movements in the value of the rupee when it crossed 80 to the dollar in August 2022
The rupee declined 4 paise to 86.44 against the US dollar in early trade on Thursday amid a firm American currency, rising crude oil prices and outflow of foreign funds. However, positive domestic equity markets resisted a sharp fall in Indian currency, forex traders said. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 86.42 and slipped further to 86.44 against the greenback in initial deals, trading 4 paise lower from its previous close. The rupee settled with a gain of 13 paise at 86.40 against the dollar on Wednesday, a day after rebounding 17 paise from its lowest-ever level. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading 0.04 per cent higher at 108.96. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, rose 0.37 per cent to USD 82.33 per barrel in futures trade. Analysts said concerns over geopolitical uncertainties are likely to add volatility in dollar until the US gets new administration under President Donal
A narrowing trade deficit in December, down to $21.94 billion down from a record $31.86 billion in November, further bolstered market sentiment
The RBI must come out with an official explanation, but until it does, we can only guess. But there are a few reasonable hypotheses
The currency had declined to an all-time low of 86.6475 in the previous session. It recovered on Wednesday, helped by the dollar index's retreat from a more than two-year peak
The rupee pared its initial marginal gain and slipped 2 paise to 86.55 against the US dollar in early trade on Wednesday as the positive sentiment in the domestic equity markets was negated by elevated crude oil prices and massive withdrawal of foreign funds. A retreating American currency, however, supported the Indian currency at lower level, forex traders said. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 86.50 and touched 86.45 against the greenback in initial deals. However, the local unit soon pared the gains and traded at 86.55 against the dollar, 2 paise lower from its previous close. On Tuesday, the rupee rebounded from its lowest-ever level and settled with a gain of 17 paise at 86.53 against the dollar. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading 0.03 per cent lower at 109.07. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, rose 0.06 per cent to USD 79.96 per barrel in futures trade. In the domesti
Historical analysis of US presidencies, dating back to the Nixon era, reveals that the rupee tends to perform more stably during Republican administrations compared to Democratic ones
RBI's intervention policy unlikely to have changed
The rupee weakened to 86 per dollar from 85 in just 16 trading sessions. In contrast, its movement from 84 to 85 took 46 working days, while the shift from 83 to 84 happened in 478 days
The rupee declined by 3.1 per cent since September, and Indian equity benchmarks Nifty and Sensex fell by 8.5 and 7.3 per cent, respectively, during the same period
On Monday, the rupee was trading at 86.58 against the dollar, a fresh low amid a rising dollar and outflows from Indian equities
The rupee lost around 2.8 per cent against the dollar in 2024, making it one of the best-performing currencies in Asia as the greenback surged
The rupee's slide show went on for the second straight session on Monday as it crashed 27 paise to hit a new lifetime low of 86.31 against the US dollar, dragged down by a robust American currency amid volatile global cues. A record surge in crude oil prices, sustained outflow of foreign capital, and a negative trend in domestic equity markets also kept the Indian currency under pressure, forex traders said. The dollar, they said, strengthened on better-than-expected job growth in the US market, which also fuelled the benchmark treasury yields amid expectations of slower interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 86.12 and fell to the historic low level of 86.31 against the greenback in initial deals, registering a steep loss of 27 paise from its previous close. On Friday, the rupee declined 18 paise to settle at 86.04 against the US dollar. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of
The dollar-rupee pair's 1-month daily realized volatility touched a near-six-month high late in December while implied volatility, a gauge of future expectations, rose to 3.5%
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The dollar index inched up to 109.14 compared to 108.98 on Wednesday. The index measures the strength of the greenback against a basket of six major currencies
The rupee is currently overvalued by 8 per cent compared to its trading peers, according to RBI data on the real effective exchange rate
Dollar-rupee three-month offshore forward points, the cost of locking in forward dollar purchases, are hovering near the highest since November 2022 reached last week
In the last three months, the rupee has depreciated 2.2 per cent against the dollar, which typically hurts consumer durable companies.