Can China replace the United States (US) as the principal external anchor in West Asia? The short answer is no, but the longer answer is more consequential than a simple negative
West Asia continues to sit on a powder keg
Ex-diplomats say the 'peacemaker' role in US-Iran talks is not a zero-sum game for India but needs recalibration
Iran's missile-and-drone arsenal offset a huge US deployment
President Donald Trump has announced a US counter-blockade of the Strait of Hormuz to prevent the passage of Iranian oil shipments
The sharp depletion will also mean the market stays vulnerable for longer to future disruptions even after the conflict ends
France recently announced it had moved its Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier to the Red Sea in a move aimed at signaling that the coalition stood ready to secure the strait
Iran has created a government agency to vet and tax vessels seeking passage through the crucial Strait of Hormuz, a shipping data company has reported, as Tehran said it was reviewing the latest US proposals for ending the war. The Iranian effort to formalise control over the channel raised new concerns about international shipping, with hundreds of commercial ships bottled up in the Persian Gulf and unable to reach the open sea. Still, hope that the two-month conflict could soon be over buoyed international markets. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei on Thursday said the Islamic Republic was reviewing messages from Pakistan, which is mediating peace negotiations, but Iran "as not yet reached a conclusion, and no response has been given to the US side", Iranian state TV reported. Late in the day, Iranian state media said the country's armed forces exchanged fire with "the enemy" on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz. It is the largest Iranian island in the Persia
Against a backdrop of broken alliances and misaligned interests, India's relationship with West Asia is fundamentally different
The ongoing West Asia conflict has highlighted India's structural vulnerability to energy shocks, reinforcing the need to reduce dependence on imported crude and accelerate efforts to strengthen energy security, according to an external member of the RBI's rate-setting panel. Nagesh Kumar, who is the director of the Institute for Studies in Industrial Development and also a part of the Monetary Policy Committee, said the Indian approach needs to focus both on stepping up oil exploration domestically and hastening the transition to alternative sources. "The high dependence on imported crude makes the Indian economy highly vulnerable to volatility in the hydrocarbons market. While India's macroeconomic fundamentals remain resilient, and the Indian economy will continue to remain the fastest growing major economy with a growth rate of nearly 7 per cent in 2026-27, it is time to prioritise energy security and resilience for sustaining the accelerating economic growth trajectory," Kumar .
Near-term earnings may face pressure from geopolitical tensions, but improved valuations and strong fundamentals keep India's long-term market outlook intact
India must map and monitor key economic vulnerabilities, particularly in areas such as energy, food, fertilisers, metals, and critical minerals, and proactively address both supply disruptions and price volatility to mitigate the impact of future West Asia-like crisis, a top government official said on Monday. Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister (EAC-PM) Chairman S Mahendra Dev in an interview with PTI further said the ongoing West Asia conflict highlights the need for a forward-looking approach to risk management. "India must map and monitor key economic vulnerabilities, particularly in areas such as energy, food, fertilisers, metals and critical minerals, and proactively address both supply disruptions and price volatility," Dev said. He said this calls for a substantial strengthening of physical buffers, including an expansion of strategic petroleum reserves and the creation of stockpiles for essential commodities, going beyond the conventional reliance on foreign ...
The CEA argued that India's substantial refining capacity significantly mitigates the challenges of its high crude oil import dependence
Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran on Saturday said India needs to create strategic buffers in the face of the "most difficult" energy shock that the country is facing amid the West Asia crisis. Nageswaran also said the rising prices of fertiliser and petroleum products globally due to the crisis will make it challenging to achieve the 4.3 per cent fiscal deficit target for the current fiscal, while below normal monsoon and pass-through of higher energy prices could lead to "potential inflation spike". He also said India has employment challenge emanating from AI, and there is a need to ensure that IT sector becomes more competitive and not lose jobs to AI, and instead create jobs that use AI within the IT sector or in other services. Speaking at the ICPP Growth Conference organised by the Ashoka University, Nageswaran said the current account deficit (CAD) in the current fiscal could rise to over 2 per cent of GDP, from less than 1 per cent in FY'26. "The ... priority for
Union Minister JP Nadda on Saturday said India must convert prevailing global uncertainties into opportunities to build domestic strength, calling for higher manufacturing capacity, resilience and self-reliance to achieve the goal of a "Viksit Bharat" by 2047. Addressing the valedictory function of the two-day Vibrant Gujarat Regional Conference for south Gujarat, Nadda said recent global developments underline the need to reduce strategic dependencies and strengthen supply chains. "The recent global uncertainty is an indication that we must turn crises into opportunities. We must give maximum attention to our manufacturing sectors through regional conferences," he said. The Union health minister said economic strength is not just about growth, but also about resilience, self-reliance and strategic autonomy. India must convert global uncertainty into domestic strength, and "build and innovate more within the country, and reduce critical vulnerabilities," he said. Nadda noted that
From Iran diplomacy and artificial intelligence risks to Great Nicobar strategy and Pakistan policy, today's Best of BS Opinion highlights key strategic and economic debates shaping India's outlook
From rising oil-linked risks and services data gaps to gold loan expansion and global capital flows, here are the key insights from Business Standard's Opinion page
One clear message from the West Asia conflict is the need to build buffers of key inputs, and this should not be limited to oil and gas
Iran's Supreme Leader signals a 'new phase' in the Gulf, raising concerns over Strait of Hormuz security and global oil supply disruptions
The UAE's exit has raised questions about the future of Opec and its ability to influence global oil prices