The 20 states considered in the analysis constituted nearly 86 per cent of the budgeted aggregate revenue receipts for FY20.
The agency's earlier forecast was 3%; it says state governments were already facing a lower-than-budgeted share in central taxes and subdued own revenue growth, when the 21-day lockdown was imposed
It is to be noted that the basic limit of 3 per cent remains unconditional, while only additional one per cent out of the two is linked to citizen centric reforms, Finance ministry official said.
He said all options should be open to the sovereign in consultation with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
Nirmala Sitharaman tells Indivjal Dhasmana & Nivedita Mookerji that the government has made sure that mistakes committed during 2008-2013 are not repeated while announcing the Rs 20-trillion package.
Calling her stint as FM during the pandemic "the most challenging assignment yet", Sitharaman said she was not upset with the criticism that the recent stimulus package was too little
Growth holds the key to the government's fiscal deficit slippage
Only eight states will qualify for the extra borrowing, as they have to meet stiff conditions on ease of doing business.
In the case of states, the fiscal gap will rise by 200 bps after the Centre hiked the borrowing limit of states to 5 per cent of GSDP on Sunday
Not all of this amount will necessarily be borne in fiscal year 2020-21
Net borrowing ceiling for 2020-21 was earlier pegged at Rs 6.41 trillion (3 per cent of gross state domestic product), and the states have thus far borrowed merely 14 per cent of this authorised limit
He said that the fiscal stimulus, by its very nature, is additional fiscal burden on the public finances
The government has given loans and ensured that companies, SMEs in particular, dont sink due to the crisis
"We estimate a 4.5% direct impact on fiscal deficit purely because of revenue shortfall / automatic fiscal stabilizer and a 0.9% indirect effect because of GDP change," the SBI report says
The direct spending by the centre, on Thursday's announcements will include Rs 3,500 crore that the centre will spend on providing free foodgrains to 80 million migrants
Domestic stocks advanced in early trade which supported the rupee. The key indices Sensex and Nifty, however, closed marginally down due to sell-off in financial counters
Govt will need to spend more, but should credibly commit through institutional reform to future transparency and prudence
The former RBI governor also says that the Centre's current fiscal stimulus is not sufficient
Centre-state relations during the battle against Covid-19 have caused cooperative federalism to come under massive stress, says the Punjab CM
Fear of an economic meltdown is said to be the main reason behind ending the shutdown at a time when the country's curve, or rate of infections, is edging up sharply