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May-August 2019 is also the second consecutive complete Consumer Pyramids Household Survey to have recorded a sequential increase in employment
The rural unemployment rate in the week ended October 6 was 8.3 per cent and in the second week it was 8.2 per cent
Given this past record of declines, the surge of 2.5 million jobs in the past one year is a welcome reversal. But, this expansion is far from sufficient
A person is considered to be employed if she has been employed for at least one hour during a week
A greater proportion of a rising population joining the labour force is the best of both worlds
In the recent past we faced several challenges in execution of the survey
The V-shape pattern of the unemployment rate holds true for both, urban and rural unemployment rates
A fall in demand for automobiles of all kinds is leading to job losses and fears of more losses in the near future are mounting
While employment growth decelerated from 2.6 per cent in 2016-17 to 2.2 per cent in 2017-18, growth in wages inched up a bit from 9.4 per cent in 2016-17 to 9.5 per cent in 2017-18
The Survey explicitly addresses the issue of a high investment rate substituting labour
If that happens, the monthly unemployment rate would have stabilised around 7% for six months with a movement within a narrow range of 6.7% to 7.4%
NYAY by the Congress raises the bar of support to Rs 6,000 per month. And there is a growing argument that the MGNREGA should be extended to urban regions
The minister does not make lose statements, and he is smart enough to have been extra cautious, especially as he was being interviewed by someone like Karan Thapar
The sample for CMIE's weekly estimates is of the order of 30,000 respondents and that for the monthly estimates is 130,000, with minor variations every week or month
CMIE surveys regularly show the deteriorating situation on the jobs front. Leaks of government surveys point in the same direction
Weekly estimates of the unemployment rate during March 2019, for example, did indicate a declining trend
In every month of 2018 and in the months of 2019 so far, the ratio has always been lower than it was in the corresponding month of the previous year
Weekly estimates show that the unemployment rate has regained its higher levels in the two weeks ended February 3 and February 10
I have no doubt that the data published in Business Standard are indeed NSSO estimates
Weekly estimates are relatively stable and reasonably reliable but turn out to be systematically higher than the 30-day moving average measure